Premier League Predictions, Week 11

© Micah Veldkamp, 2025

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Welcome back to the weekly predictions, Premier League fans! We had some Champions League action over the midweek, and contrary to what I said last time out about the Carabao Cup, the Champions League is a real tournament. The only real tournament, some would say. Results in those matches count triple. But anyways, we're back to the domestic action once more, before another dreaded international break.

Speaking of last time out...well, my hot streak finally came to an end. After four straight weeks of getting a result and/or scoreline right in at least 4 out of 5, a win by Chelsea, a draw between Sunderland-Everton, and a much-anticipated win by Liverpool sunk my predictions. That said, only kind of! Because those three misses were sandwiched between two spot-on calls, a 2-0 Arsenal victory and a 3-1 Manchester City win. That managed to salvage a passable 3/5 week for me, taking my season clip to 27/35.

But, the matches are less than 12 hours from kicking back off, so let's not waste any more time awarding me extra credit. Here are your 5 for Week 11!

Tottenham Hotspur vs. Manchester United

Amad Diallo’s late goal last weekend prevented what would have been a very embarrassing result for Manchester United, but a draw with Nottingham was still a disappointment, considering the two clubs’ opposite trajectories, and the end it brought to United’s first 3-match winning streak in a long time. Still, that was probably preferable to Tottenham’s weekend, which saw them lose at home to rivals Chelsea in a listless 1-0 performance. Both teams will be desperate to get back on the horse in the weekend’s early matchup, but—while United have shown marked improvement thus far –I like Tottenham a little more, and struggle to see them losing a second consecutive big game at home.

The Pick: Tottenham, 2-1

Sunderland vs. Arsenal

While all the other big boys continue to faff about, Arsenal keep winning, opening up what feels like a commanding lead atop the table. Sunderland, just 7 points behind them, are proving to be an enigma for this prediction series; I've been skeptical all year about their quality but they consistently prove that skepticism unfounded, then right when I finally pick them for what seems to be a clear win, they draw at home with mid-table Everton. What gives?! At any rate, I think they (and captain Granit Xhaka in particular) will be motivated to face Arsenal at home and give them a stern test, but I expect the Gunners to do what they do best and gut out another close one.

The Pick: Arsenal, 1-0

Crystal Palace vs. Brighton & Hove Albion

It won't get as much of the attention on this loaded weekend, but the latest edition of this rivalry could be a must-watch; it features two very exciting teams, known for outplaying their expectations. Brighton were expected by many to be the possible Top 4 spoiler this year, but Year 2 under Fabian Hürzeler has been much more inconsistent. Instead, it's been Crystal Palace who have more looked the part; while a winless October knocked them back a little bit, they looked sure-footed last weekend in a 2-0 victory. Brighton's still got some tricks under theirs sleeve, but I trust Oliver Glasner to get the Eagles right this weekend.

The Pick: Crystal Palace, 3-2

Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth

Though Palace-Brighton could have made an argument for this, Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth is the indisputed "Overacheivers Derby" this weekend. Bournemouth's start to the season was sensational, pushing Liverpool to the limit at Anfield in the season opener, and then not losing again until last weekend at Manchester City. That loss was costly in a razor-tight table, though, tumbling them out of the Top 4 for now.

Meanwhile, Villa were wholly outplayed last week by Liverpool in a performance that was more reminiscent of their dreadful start to the season, but their October was still good enough that Unai Emery's men are back in the thick of things, sitting just 4 points back from 2nd place right now. To me, Ttis is the most "could go either way" of any match this weekend, but I still think Villa's turnaround is for real-- last week notwithstanding --and expect them to be much much sharper this week at home.

The Pick: Aston Villa, 3-1

Manchester City vs. Liverpool

Since 2018, Jürgen Klopp's real breakthrough year with Liverpool, this has been THE matchup in the Premier League, with many football fans going so far as to term it the "Premier League Clásico." Yes, Arsenal and their three straight 2nd place finishes have entered the conversation and have every right to be there, but still, the league has run through these two for the better part of a decade. This edition of the new-age rivalry takes on a bit of a different complexion, though, as Arsenal have opened up a bigger lead at this time than they've ever had over both these teams at once; both rivals got a big win over tough opponents last weekend (City in particular) to stop a particularly bad run of results (Liverpool in particular), but this has the feel of an early knockout blow to title hopes if either team can find a win. Liverpool's comprehensive win over Real Madrid on Tuesday supported that they might in fact be "back," and the Aston Villa win wasn't a one-off. And in truth, if we get Tuesday's version of Liverpool in the Etihad on Sunday, Man City may have a very tough time indeed, as they don't look a whole lot more consistent or fully realized than last year's side that got completely outplayed at home by the eventual champions. What they DO look a whole lot, though, is more consistently dangerous in attack, with Haaland back to his belting goalscoring form, and that coupled with the Reds' season-long defensive concerns is enough to make me think this might be Pep's chance to get his first win over Liverpool in 3 years and his first ever over Arne Slot

The Pick: Man City, 2-1